Electoral Points Proposal
1948 United States Presidential Election (Tuesday November 2nd)


1944    <<<    Electoral Points Proposal - Home    >>>    1952


SOURCES: Wikipedia - 1948 United States Presidential Election    David Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - 1948

143,000 Electoral Points - 71,510 pts needed to win

   Under each candidate (L  R): Pop. Vote Percentage - Electoral Points

   -----------------             Harry S.          Thomas E.         J. Strom          Henry
   State | Electoral             Truman            Dewey             Thurmond          Wallace
         | Votes                 Democrat          Republican      States Rights       Progressive
   -----------------                                                 Dixiecrat

  Group C (1st priority - 5,000 pts each, 50,000 pts total)


  21. Minnesota (11)             57.16%  2,945     39.89%  2,055                        2.30%    ---

  22. Mississippi (9)            10.09%  1,250      2.62%    ---     87.17%  3,750      0.12%    ---

  23. Missouri (12)              58.11%  2,917     41.49%  2,083                        0.25%    ---

  24. Montana (4)                53.09%  2,758     43.15%  2,242                        3.26%    ---

  25. Nebraska (6)               45.85%  2,292     54.15%  2,708

  26. Nevada (3)                 50.37%  2,580     47.26%  2,420                        2.36%    ---

  27. New Hampshire (4)          46.66%  2,355     52.41%  2,645                        0.85%    ---

  28. New Jersey (16)            45.93%  2,386     50.33%  2,614                        2.19%    ---

  29. New Mexico (4)             56.38%  2,839     42.93%  2,161                        0.55%    ---

  30. New York (47)              45.01%  2,268     45.99%  2,317                        8.25%    415

  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      So Far (50,000)                   24,590            21,245             3,750               415

      Needed to Win - 71,510     Truman-D          Dewey-R           Thurmond-SR       Wallace-Prog



  Group D (2nd priority - 4,000 pts each, 36,000 pts total)

  31. North Carolina  (14)       58.02%  2,332     32.68%  1,314      8.80%    354      0.49%    ---

  32. North Dakota (4)           43.41%  1,817     52.17%  2,183      0.17%    ---      3.80%    ---

  33. Ohio (25)                  49.48%  2,005     49.24%  1,995                        1.28%    ---

  34. Oklahoma (10)              62.75%  2,510     37.25%  1,490

  35. Oregon (6)                 46.40%  1,930     49.78%  2,070                        2.86%    ---

  36. Pennsylvania (35)          46.92%  1,918     50.93%  2,082                        1.48%    ---

  37. Rhode Island (4)           57.59%  2,326     41.44%  1,674                        0.80%    ---

  38. South Carolina (8)         24.14%  1,066      3.78%    ---     71.97%  2,934      0.11%    ---

  39. South Dakota  (4)          47.04%  1,903     51.84%  2,097                        1.12%    ---

  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      So Far (86,000)                   42,397            36,150             7,038               415

      Needed to Win - 71,510     Truman-D          Dewey-R           Thurmond-SR       Wallace-Prog



  Group E (3rd priority - 3,000 pts each, 27,000 pts total)


  40. Tennessee (12)             49.14%  1,483     36.87%  1,113     13.41%    404      0.34%    ---

  41. Texas (23)                 65.96%  1,992     24.29%    733      9.11%    275      0.31%    ---

  42. Utah (6)                   53.98%  1,636     45.02%  1,364                        0.97%    ---

  43. Vermont (3)                36.92%  1,125     61.54%  1,875                        1.04%    ---

  44. Virginia (11)              47.89%  1,447     41.04%  1,240     10.35%    313      0.49%    ---

  45. Washington (8)             52.61%  1,590     42.68%  1,410                        3.50%    ---

  46. West Virginia (8)          57.32%  1,727     42.24%  1,273                        0.44%    ---

  47. Wisconsin (12)             50.70%  1,568     46.28%  1,432                        1.98%    ---

  48. Wyoming (3)                51.62%  1,566     47.27%  1,434                        0.92%    ---

  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      So Far (113,000)                  56,531            48,024             8,030               415

      Needed to Win - 71,510     Truman-D          Dewey-R           Thurmond-SR       Wallace-Prog



  Group A (4th priority - 2,000 pts each, 20,000 pts total)

  

   1. Alabama (11)  +++1                           19.04%    500     79.75%  1,500      0.71%    ---

   2. Arizona (4)                53.79%  1,102     43.82%    898                        1.87%    ---

   3. Arkansas (9)               61.72%  1,244     21.02%    424     16.52%    332      0.31%    ---

   4. California (25)            47.57%  1,005     47.13%    995      0.03%    ---      4.73%    ---

   5. Colorado (6)               51.88%  1,056     46.42%    944                        1.55%    ---

   6. Connecticut (8)            47.91%    983     49.55%  1,017                        1.55%    ---

   7. Delaware (3)               48.76%    987     50.04%  1,013                        0.75%    ---

   8. Florida (8)                48.82%    996     33.63%    686     15.54%    318      2.01%    ---

   9. Georgia (12)               60.81%  1,223     18.31%    368     20.31%    409      0.39%    ---

  10. Idaho (4)                  49.98%  1,028     47.26%    972                        2.31%    ---

  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      So Far (133,000)                  66,155            55,841            10,589               415

      Needed to Win - 71,510     Truman-D          Dewey-R           Thurmond-SR       Wallace-Prog


      +++1 = Alabama (Group A, above)
             The state's Democratic Party leadership kept Truman's name off of all state ballots,
             and apparently offered the voters unpledged electors instead. Thurmond and Dewey were
             the only named candidates eligible to receive Electoral Points.



  Group B (5th priority - 1,000 pts each, 10,000 pts total)


  11. Illinois (28)              50.07%    504     49.22%    496

  12. Indiana (13)               48.78%    496     49.58%    504                        0.58%    ---

  13. Iowa (10)                  50.31%    514     47.58%    486                        1.17%    ---

  14. Kansas (8)                 44.61%    454     53.63%    546                        0.58%    ---

  15. Kentucky (11)              56.74%    578     41.48%    422      1.27%    ---      0.19%    ---

  16. Louisiana (10)             32.75%    330     17.45%    176     49.07%    494      0.73%    ---

  17. Maine (5)                  42.27%    427     56.74%    573                        0.71%    ---

  18. Maryland (8)               48.01%    493     49.40%    507      0.41%    ---      1.67%    ---

  19. Massachusetts (16)         54.66%    559     43.16%    441                        1.81%    ---

  20. Michigan (19)              47.57%    491     49.23%    509                        2.20%    ---

  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      TOTAL - 143,000                   71,001            60,501            11,083               415

      Needed to Win - 71,510     Truman-D          Dewey-R           Thurmond-SR       Wallace-Prog

      Finish Order               Leader-1st        2nd               3rd               4th

      Perecentage of Points      49.65105%         42.30839%         7.75035%          0.29021%


      No winner in the Electoral Points Proposal format. A run-off between Truman and Dewey
      would be scheduled for Tuesday November 30th, 1948.  If Dewey wins the run-off, then
      he would be inaugurated on February 3rd 1949, two weeks later than the regular January
      20th date. If Truman won the run-off, he would be inaugurated on the regular January
      20th date.

      Make special note that Truman is only 509 points short of the 71,510 need-to-win mark,
      while Dewey is 10,500 points behind Truman and 11,509 points short of the need-to-win
      mark. If Dewey felt that he could not surpass Truman and win the run-off, then Dewey
      could exercise the Voluntary Concession Option.

      If Dewey did indeed choose not to go through with the run-off and voluntarily conceded
      the race, then 519 of his own electoral points would be given to Truman, who would then
      be certified as the 1948 election, with a final point count of 71,520 to Dewey's 59,982.


      In actual fact, Truman was the outright winner of the 1948 election.


      Good Night, Mr. H. V. Kaltenborn - wherever you are !!!


      Need-to-Win Ratios (Final Tally vs Minimum Needed) ...

       Electoral Points - No concession (71,001 - 71,510): 0.992882-1
                            Concession (71,520 - 71,510): 1.000140-1

       Electoral Votes (303 - 266): 1.139098-1


      Truman-Dewey Ratios -- Electoral Points: 1.192358-1 (assumes concession)
                             Electoral Votes: 1.603175-1


  Electoral Votes (531) ***2    303 (57.06215%)   189 (35.59322%)   39 (7.34463%)     None
  |
  |-- Actual (1948)             Truman-D          Dewey-R           Thurmond-SR       Wallace-Prog
  |
  Popular Votes (48,793,535)    24,179,347        21,991,292        1,175,930         1,157,328

  Pctage of Pop. Votes          49.55441%         45.07009%         2.41001%          2.37189%


  ***2 = A faithless Tennessee Democratic elector chose Strom Thurmond instead of Harry Truman






Electoral Points Proposal
1948 United States Presidential Election (Tuesday November 2nd)


1944    <<<    Electoral Points Proposal - Home    >>>    1952


SOURCES: Wikipedia - 1948 United States Presidential Election    David Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - 1948

143,000 Electoral Points - 71,510 pts needed to win


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